The Playoffs…

The selection committee threw us a curve ball. They said they would go with conference champions first and foremost…then they went with Alabama over Ohio State.  Good move for college football and an even better move for the Sooners…

OU will play a winnable game against Georgia and then Sooner fans can sit back and root for the other Crimson team to beat Clemson.

I like OU’s chance against the run-first Georgia offense.   I know Jake Fromm was a five star recruit, but Fromm is still a true freshman.

As for OU’s offense, I believe this bunch, with or without Rodney Anderson will roll against Georgia. Those guys have not seen the likes of this offense before.

I know that rooting for Alabama is akin to blasphemy in Oklahoma, but there is a reason for my madness.  I believe that Alabama’s physicality gives them the best chance to knock off Clemson. I don’t about you, but I never want to play Clemson again. Roll Tide.

In Alabama, we will face a physical, well-coached team, but a team that OU can beat. The best remedy for a physical team like Alabama is to play up-tempo football. This Baker Mayfield offense seems to be able to always find the soft spot in a defense.

Alabama will also have just one week to prepare for the OU offense. A week is not nearly enough time to prepare for the number of weapons that a Lincoln Riley offense can throw at a defense.

I like our chances of bringing home #8

Boomer Sooner…

 

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Saturday…

As you know I am not a big fan of the Big 12 Championship game, particularly when OU has nothing to gain and everything to lose. This fact will make Sooner fans understandably anxious prior to Saturday’s game.

At the same time, it is time for Sooner fans to accept the reality of the situation and go with the flow. As they say, it is what it is. What it is, is this…

The good news is that OU’s offense is hitting on all cylinders at just the right time of the year. Even the best of defenses have difficulty stopping a team that can both run and throw like this team can. The additional good news is that Baker Mayfield still wears the Crimson and Cream uniform.

The bad news is that TCU is coached by an obsessive, defensive, guru named Gary Patterson.   Piling on the bad news side of the ledger is the fact that the Horned Frogs have an outstanding offensive coordinator as well. Sonny Cumbie is much better coach than most people realize. He gets the most out of his players

Additional piling on, no pun intended, comes in the fact that TCU has become Thug U. Expect these guys to become headhunters on Saturday as they do everything possible to take out Baker Mayfield.

Okay, this is what I think will happen on Saturday. The game will be tight throughout the first half, as TCU benefits from playing OU just four weeks earlier. OU will get some separation right before half that hopefully will carry over into the second half.

Mike Stoops will make adjustments at half-time; I know this sounds crazy, but then again even a blind squirrel can find an acorn every once in awhile. Lincoln will make adjustments as well and the Sooners will win going away.

At that point, Sooner fans can sit back and enjoy elimination Saturday.

Boomer Sooner…

 

 

 

The Big 12 Championship Game…

I don’t want to rain on everyone’s parade, but this team has to win one more game to lock up its trip to a possible National Championship game. I say this because, I really do believe that this OU team could get er’ done this year.

Unfortunately, we must now play a conference championship game for no apparent reason. I know the conference has to help pay the bills for the bottom feeders in the league, but really…

Big 12 Commissioner Bob Bowlsby sold the game to Big 12 schools as a way to ensure that the Big 12 champion would make the playoffs. As you can see from the computer model below, OU should have wrapped up that feat Saturday night.

I know you are thinking why should Sooner fans be worried after we demolished TCU just three weeks ago. First, this what bloggers do, secondly, playing the same team three weeks apart is a recipe for disaster and thirdly, I have a really good memory.

I can remember all too well, another Big 12 Championship December night back in 2003. That was when a four-loss K-State team coached by Bill Snyder, Gary Patterson’s mentor derailed OU’s season and our quest for an eighth National Championship.

I think the Sooner Nation should petition the Big 12 office to end the Big 12 season right now.    That of course will not happen, but you catch my drift. After yesterday’s games the latest ESPN FiveThirtyEight computer model shows OU as a lock for the playoffs.

Chances of making the CFP playoffs after Saturday’s games.

  1. OU 68%
  2. Clemson 67%
  3. Auburn 52%
  4. Alabama 52%
  5. Wisconsin 50%
  6. Georgia 43%
  7. Ohio State 32%
  8. Miami 24%
  9. TCU  6%

The Sooners can still make the playoffs with a loss next Saturday, but we will have to sweat out the Ohio State/Wisconsin game. That game just a lot tighter with the J.T. Barrett’s injury.

Bob Bowlsby, the Big 12 Commissioner who came up with this Big 12 Championship scheme had better hope that OU wins next Saturday.

Otherwise, the guy should be fired on the spot…

Boomer Sooner…

 

 

Roll Tide…

On Saturday as OU fans settle into their seats to watch the Sooners pummel West Virginia updates from the Auburn/Alabama game will trickle in. Many OU fans will cheer anytime it is announced that Auburn is on top of the Crimson Tide.

You see rooting against Alabama is akin to rooting against Texas, OSU, or Notre Dame for Sooner fans. It is simply what we do. In this case, OU fans should think twice before jumping on the War Eagle bandwagon.

Here’s my concern…OU is a one-loss team that plays in the Big 12 Conference, which means that OU will never be a slam dunk to make the playoffs with a loss.   Making matters worse is the fact that that one loss is to an Iowa State team that may be a five-loss team after Saturday.

This is what we know…the Miami/Clemson winner will be in the playoffs. We also know that if an undefeated Wisconsin team pulls a miracle and finds a way to beat Ohio State in the Big Ten Championship game the Badgers will be in as well.   Then we can rest assured that no selection committee would have the courage to overlook the winner of the SEC.

If that team is Auburn, we will have a real mess on our hands.   At that point the selection committee will be forced to choose between a one loss SEC team (Alabama) and a one loss Big 12 team (Oklahoma).

I wouldn’t spend a lot of money in Vegas betting on OU if this were to happen.

Hopefully, Wisconsin will lose to Ohio State in two weeks, but just to be safe, let’s root for Alabama over Auburn this Saturday.

Roll Tide…

 

 

 

 

 

Lincoln…

Yes, I know Kansas started things by snubbing Baker during pregame and yes I know the KU fans who have no life were probably relentless from the stands and yes the KU players targeted Baker numerous times during the game, but; Baker has to understand that he is a marked man and that his swagger encourages such behavior on the part of opposing teams.

While the elephant-eared ESPN talking-head probably thinks Lincoln Riley’s punishment is too light…he has no clue about Baker Mayfield and his love for OU football. For Baker not to be allowed to walk out as team captain on senior night is by far the worst punishment that could be administered to him.

Because Baker is Baker, he will learn from this experience and be better for it. He will also appreciate the dignity and worth of his head coach. Baker knows that Lincoln Riley had no choice in the matter.

Baker may even take the incident as motivation to mastermind an 8th National Championship. This is the difference between Baker and the “Boz” and yes, between Lincoln and Barry.

If Barry had taken a similar stance with the Boz back in the day, we would not have had the implosion that took place in its aftermath. To this day, I can’t erase those pictures of OU players in orange jump suits or Charles Thompson in handcuffs.

Here’s the bottom line…Baker will sit out the first series on Saturday and live to tell about it. Lincoln and the Sooners will use this message to reassure the parents of recruits that the program will never be allowed to return to the chaos of the late 80’s.

For OU fans that love winning more than life, loving OU football done the right way should be even more important. Lincoln showed what he was made of today. This guy’s maturity level is far beyond his years.

The future of this program is off the charts with this guy at the helm…

Boomer Sooner…

 

 

I should have seen it coming…

I was surprised when Miami jumped over OU and I was shocked when Clemson jumped over OU as well. At that point, I had to ask myself if I had been living in a cave for the past five years.

Point being…OU must be head and shoulders above other Power Conference teams to make the playoffs. Even a beat down of what was considered to be a great defensive team did little to impact the selection committee.

Now I’m worried…for this team and this quarterback not to make the playoffs in 2017 would be a travesty. Then again, if it does not happen, we will have only our leaders to blame. We knew going in that overcoming the albatross known as the Big 12 Conference would be tough.

The OU win over Ohio State will still matter, but only if the Buckeyes beat Wisconsin in the Big Ten Championship game. Otherwise the Badgers will be in.

Add to this mix the Clemson/Miami and the Alabama/Auburn/Georgia winners. If my math is correct, this leaves only one spot for the rest of America.

OU fans must then pray that the committee does not put the loser of these games in the top four as well. If so, OU will be toast.

Okay, here’s the plan. We have to do the very thing I scolded OU fans about last week. OU needs to score style points against Kansas and West Virginia. Then, TCU needs to score style points against Texas Tech and Baylor.   Finally, OU will have to throw caution against the win and beat the tar out of TCU in the Big 12 Championship game.

As they say, it is what it is…just like we can’t change defensive coordinators in midstream, we also can’t change our conference affiliation.

We can still get there, but with most things these days, it won’t be easy.  It is crunch time in Oklahoma.

Boomer Sooner…

 

 

Final four…

All Sooner Nation eyes will be locked and loaded for Tuesday night’s college playoff show. Where will the Sooners land?

The playoff selection committee is made up of committee of 13 members. Individuals serve three year stints so the committed changes from one year to the next. This makes for an interesting scenario…one year’s committee may value one thing with the next year’s group focused on something completely different.

This appears to be the case this year as this year’s committee appears to be focused on quality versus quantity. We saw this last week as OU jumped to #5 in the rankings in spite of giving up a kajillion yards and points to oSU. No one expected this to happen, but it did.

According to the committee’s spokesman who happens to be from the Big 12, this year’s committee is focused on strength of schedule and head to head matchups. Last year’s group appeared to reward teams for rubbing it in at the end of the game with meaningless points.

Apparently, those yard birds at the game on Saturday night missed this memo as they bemoaned the fact that OU was not trying to run up the score in the 2nd half against TCU. I suspect that given this year’s parameters an 18-point win against the #6 team in the country will impress this committee.

Of course I realize that far too many fans who attend OU games these days wake up in a new world every morning and just happen to find their way to the stadium, but really…

This latest selection committee would appear to bode well as the Sooners have now beaten 2nd ranked Ohio State on the road, the #11 ranked oSU on the road and now the #6 ranked team TCU last night.

This committee will also see a team that can score 30 points or more against any defense in the country.

The Ohio State win jetted the Sooners up the chart and I expect this will happen again on Tuesday. I know everyone assumes Miami will pass the Sooners due to their beat down of the Irish and their undefeated record, but I am not so sure.

Who have the Irish beaten other than this overrated Notre Dame team? They have beaten only one other ranked team and it was a then #13 Virginia Tech team.

Here’s my final four for this week.

  1. Alabama
  2. OU
  3. Miami
  4. Clemson

You may ask why does it matter whether which team is ranked #2 or #3 with these two teams squaring off in game one? It matters because we want to avoid playing Alabama in the first round at all cost so the higher up the chart the better.

Boomer Sooner…